Probabilistic weather forecasting represents a paradigm shift from single-value predictions to probability distributions that quantify uncertainty in atmospheric states. Ensemble prediction systems ...

A Chinese research group has sought to understand the relative performance of two weather prediction techniques based on ensemble modeling for solar energy forecasts. The scientists applied the two ...

WRAL has been using ensemble forecasts to put together our snow forecasts behind the scenes for years. Now, WRAL has the exclusive ability to show you that data on TV. Let's take this weekend for ...

The U.S. COVID-19 Forecast Hub, a collaborative research consortium, has generated the most consistently accurate predictions of pandemic deaths at the state and national level, according to a new ...

But using AI is still extremely tempting because the alternative is a computational atmospheric circulation model, which is extremely compute-intensive. Still, it’s highly successful, with the ...

An ensemble forecast is a predictive methodology in which multiple simulations of a system, typically using numerical models, are generated by varying initial conditions, model physics, or ...

A cold front may bring late-day thunderstorms to the DMV, some severe with damaging winds, hail and heavy rain. by StormWatch7 Meteorologist Rachael Kaye TOPICS: You may or may not be familiar with ...

NOAA’s Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) is undergoing significant upgrades to expand its capabilities and improve weather forecasting. Meteorologists at the National Weather Service use GEFS to ...

Planning for an outdoor event requires accurate weather forecasting to ensure everything goes smoothly. Thanks to ...

Bracken, C., B. Rajagopalan, and J. Prairie. “A Multisite Seasonal Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Technique,” Water Resources Research, 46, 2010. Abstract: We present a technique for providing ...